Prepared by NumeralQ Our methodology View source data
Roof replacement as a case study across 10 major U.S. metropolitan markets.
| 35.1% | Modeled Midpoint Spread | Between the Atlanta and Boston estimate midpoints; this is a model comparison, not observed transaction data. |
| Labor Cost Index | Largest Documented Component Weight | Labor cost carries 0.50 of the documented composite weight; this is a model weight, not a measured share of market differences. |
| Risk & Regulatory | Documented Model Input | Risk and regulatory factors carry 0.15 of the documented composite weight, with separate market adjustments where recorded. |
Standard-scope asphalt shingle roof replacement, 2,000 sq ft home. Percentages reflect variance from U.S. national planning baseline.
| Market | Planning Estimate | vs. National Baseline |
|---|---|---|
| Boston, MA | $14,000–$22,900 | +27% |
| Seattle, WA | $13,600–$22,300 | +24% |
| Chicago, IL | $13,500–$22,100 | +23% |
| Miami, FL | $13,300–$21,800 | +21% |
| Minneapolis, MN | $12,200–$20,000 | +11% |
| Denver, CO | $12,000–$19,600 | +9% |
| Phoenix, AZ | $10,900–$17,800 | −1% |
| Dallas, TX | $10,700–$17,500 | −3% |
| Houston, TX | $10,700–$17,500 | −3% |
| Atlanta, GA | $10,300–$16,900 | −6% |
Boston and Seattle exhibit the highest planning estimates among the representative markets, reflecting higher labor costs and climate-specific construction requirements. Atlanta exhibits the lowest planning estimate, reflecting comparatively lower labor costs and competitive market conditions.
* Representative markets were selected to capture a range of U.S. climate regions, labor markets, and regulatory environments rather than to provide an exhaustive national ranking.
Source: NumeralQ modeled planning estimates · numeralq.com/methodology · Standard-scope asphalt shingle replacement, 2,000 sq ft · Not contractor quotations
| Climate Region | Market | vs. National Baseline |
|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Zone | Miami, FL | +21% |
| Cold Climate | Boston, MA | +27% |
| Cold Climate | Chicago, IL | +23% |
| Cold / Wet | Seattle, WA | +24% |
| Cold Climate | Minneapolis, MN | +11% |
| Hail Zone | Denver, CO | +9% |
| Hail Zone | Dallas, TX | −3% |
| Hot & Humid | Atlanta, GA | −6% |
| Hot & Humid | Houston, TX | −3% |
| Desert | Phoenix, AZ | −1% |
NumeralQ produces modeled planning estimates — not directly observed transaction prices. Estimates combine a nationally defined project baseline with localized market adjustments reflecting labor, housing market conditions, and regional construction characteristics.
National Planning Baseline → Regional Market Adjustment → Climate / Regulatory Adjustment → Planning Range
The documented composite assigns weights to labor cost (0.50), general market (0.25), housing-stock complexity (0.10), and risk/regulatory (0.15), alongside calibration and market-specific adjustments. These are model weights, not measured shares of a market price difference. The live city records store final multipliers rather than the underlying observations. Climate and code details are context for planning, not contractor quotes.
The repository documents component-level update targets: Q1 2027 for BLS OEWS and FHFA HPI, 2028 for ACS year-built data, and the next FEMA NRI v4.0 release for risk inputs. It does not document quarterly review of the base roof price, and a target schedule is not evidence that a refresh has occurred.
The ranges above are NumeralQ model outputs for a standard-scope, 2,000 sq ft asphalt-shingle roof. They are not observed transactions, contractor bids, or third-party cost-survey results.
| Representative market | Stored city multiplier |
|---|---|
| Boston, MA | 1.27 |
| Seattle, WA | 1.24 |
| Chicago, IL | 1.23 |
| Miami, FL | 1.21 |
| Minneapolis, MN | 1.11 |
| Denver, CO | 1.09 |
| Phoenix, AZ | 0.99 |
| Dallas, TX | 0.97 |
| Houston, TX | 0.97 |
| Atlanta, GA | 0.94 |
The displayed planning ranges are rounded to the nearest $100. The 35.1% midpoint spread uses the unrounded model midpoints for Boston ($18,415) and Atlanta ($13,630). The stored multiplier values and service baseline are internal NumeralQ inputs; this page does not claim external validation of the resulting prices.
NumeralQ publishes localized residential renovation cost estimates across 147 U.S. markets, covering 13 home improvement categories.
See what roofing costs in your specific city — adjusted for your local labor market and climate.
Roof Replacement Cost Guide →